NCAA Tournament conversation

Haha wow Purdue! What a hilarious epic choke. This is great... I didn't want Butler to see them again.

Now if Butler can somehow beat UVA, they will get ISU/UALR.

 

You couldn't be more right. However the NCAA and CBS want the Syracuse, Michigan and Vanderbilts for the viewership and money.

 

Come on Crean lose one for the BIG.

 

We can only hope.

 

+1000


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LETS GO BIG EAST


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Florida Gulf Coast kept it even for a half, but UNC appears to be pulling away in the second half. As strange as it sounds, it is actually quite remarkable a 1 seed has never lost a first round game. According to the computers and betting lines, the 16s have between 1% and 2% to win each game (with a few exceptions each way in previous years). Even at 99%, the chance of going 124-0 (the record entering the 2016 tournament) is just 28%. At a more realistic 98.5%, it falls to 15%.

 

...and that is why humans play games.

 

Kris Dunn just admitted when he was young he stole from ppl.

 

Excited for this Wichita State/Arizona game.

 

Perhaps. OTOH, 3 or 4 of them have come down to the last shot. If one of those goes the other way, 16 seeds are basically at expectation. That suggests to me it is mostly luck that 1's are 127-0 instead of 126-1.

Even if computers are off on upsets in general (not sure if that is true or not), I guarantee the betting lines aren't. In general, ML action is highly biased toward the favorite on the "obvious" games (mostly from people parlaying a bunch of "sure things" together). No way the lines allow you to blindly bet the big favs and make a profit in the long run.

 

way late here, and I love upsets as much as anyone, but Purdue got jobbed at the very end. That guy was fouled hardcore going in for the layup and there was no call.

 

Me too. Rooting for another first four to final four run. WSU is very very good, so its not as unlikely as it may seem.

 

Setan Hall game moved back to 10:45. Ouch. Gonna be dragging tomorrow

 

Wichita State plays defense the way we used to play it under Stevens. I wouldn't mind having Greg Marshall. I am not bashing Holt, like him a lot, it's just a different brand of defense and togetherness with guys like Stevens and Marshall.

 

Officials aren't calling obvious fouls.

 

They're going to go to the Elite 8, maybe the Final Four, this team reminds me so much of Butler 2011. The difference between this year's team which makes me nervous for Virginia and beyond is the defense, compared to during the Stevens era.

 

Let's go providence!!