I would define next year as a loss if we don't make the tournament. The pieces we currently have lined up for next year are well positioned to make the tournament but I certainly don't think it is a given. This far out the range of outcomes for next year is extremely high and rests on player improvement, contribution from freshman (and JT), and potential outgoing/incoming transfers. Overall, I like our roster construction, especially if we can add an athletic 4/5. That said, I do like our chances of making the tournament this year and next. If that bears out, that would be huge for recruiting and get us through this tough transition period.